高清视频的兴起、增强的视频压缩标准以及随后开创的IP视频监控市场的开放标准，这些对于2010年以及未来几年的视频监控市场意味着什么?

　　最近，全球安防行业有关视频监控领域的主要供应商召开了一个圆桌会议。会上，代表们主要讲述了他们对2010至未来几年，有关视频监控的最终用户存储、销售商和集成商将会采取什么样的措施的看法。 以下是关于模拟视频与IP视频的讨论：

　　模拟视频已经过时的传言是不是过分夸张了?

　　Robinson：IP视频在快速发展，在这个时候，我们不会看到模拟视频很快地彻底消亡。虽然基于IP的系统正在成为日益流行的视频选择，但它仍然让许多公司难以合理的跨过模拟视频到IP视频的转变，因为后者存在着如预算紧张，标准未制定和新的支出上的审议的增加等不利因素。模拟视频实际上和IP视频也存在联系，因为已有IP视频和模拟视频混合技术方案的使用案例。我们知道很多采用混合策略的公司，这进一步证明了模拟视频还没有消亡。

　　Fullerton：我们一直知道，模拟视频还会存在很长的时间，就好比个人电脑推出后打字机依然存在。该技术预计已是一个夕阳产业，但已经安装了寿命为12-15年的模拟视频将继续生存下来。

　　Lazatin:虽然在2009年模拟视频的销售明显放缓，但终端用户安装模拟视频系统可获得成本优势。这种趋势是小型到中型的监控产品中比较流行，如零售，餐饮，宗教场所等等。模拟视频的下降速度和IP视频的增长速度会比预测的慢。

　　Johnston：虽然模拟视频到IP视频的转变速度肯定会越来越快，但2010年不会是IP视频销售量超过模拟视频销售量的一年。许多用户，如拥有成千上万家商店的大型零售商，在模拟视频技术方面进行了重大的投资。对比起模拟视频系统，一个熟食店或比萨饼店老板是不会喜欢IP视频系统的，因为其销售成本会大幅增加。

　　Piran:模拟视频系统依然存在，而且通常不会移动直到升级为止，但他们正面临着缓慢的消亡。虽然模拟视频系统会继续表现的“足够好”，且在一定程度上能集成到网络平台上，但基于IP的视频系统确实是一种更先进的技术。

　　Gorovici：模拟视频产品一直会有，但需求会越来越少。IP视频现在是一个更加受欢迎的技术，且其发展趋势肯定是基于网络的解决方案和应用。

　　Kaplinsky:鉴于企业IT基础设施与安防的融合，在未来五年内，模拟视频很可能在新的系统销售额中占很小的比例。模拟视频没有提供明确的高清升级方案，而更高的分辨率恰恰在安防业中起着决定性作用。

　　Taylor:模拟视频还会存在于特定产品的可行性方案里。用户需要和经销商以及制造商确定他们安防需要的最佳解决方案，并选择成本最低的方案。

　　相关人物介绍：

　　EricFullerton：MilestoneSystems首席销售总监

　　GapiLan：On-NetSurveillanceSystems总裁

　　EliGorovici：DVTel总裁兼首席执行官

　　EranWachman：Verint公司产品管理副总裁

　　Linsky：ArecontVision总裁

　　MiguelLazatin：索尼高级营销经理

　　BillTaylor：松下总裁

　　ChrisJohnston：博世公司产品营销经理

　　MalikRobinson：霍尼韦尔视频系统销售总监[nextpage]

　　How will video analytics gain traction and become a profitable part of the video surveillance industry in 2010?

　　Taylor: Adoption of video analytics as a security tool is, relatively speaking, in the early stages. As customers see the benefits in these analytic tools, the market will respond. Right now, customers with specific needs will certainly lead the market in their use of video analytics for targeted applications. As time goes on, it will become apparent to the remainder of the market that intelligent video technology can help increase the efficiency and effectiveness of the security staff.

　　Piran: Video analytics are an effective tool in the broader-based environment of a video-based physical security information management (PSIM) system. Linking video analytics events to other components in an overall system - from access control systems to point-of-sale systems - creates a composite alert and can confirm an alarm and provide the operator real-time video. It's a way to improve efficiency and effectiveness while preserving the critical element of human intervention.

　　Kaplinsky: Mainstream deployment of analytics on the edge devices will probably be impeded by the lack of clear standardization of functionality and interfaces for camera-based analytics. Furthermore, many algorithms are computationally expensive causing substantial cost increase of the camera, making deployment unfeasible for camera manufacturers. Analytics will likely remain a niche market for a while, evolving into features in network video recorders (NVRs), where it can be implemented as user-selectable option without affecting system cost.

　　Gorovici: No longer is video analytics the "black magic" that it was just a few short years ago. With all of the gathered field experience and product modifications, it is now a technology that improves surveillance and security performance in installations in which it is deployed. This trend will continue to push intelligence to the edge so that more behaviors can be installed using less central processing power, making the total solution a more affordable proposition.

　　Lazatin: While use of analytics is not prevalent in most security applications, successful deployment in high-risk, high-profile areas, such as airports and stadiums, will ultimately accelerate adoption of video analytics in more common market segments and applications.

　　Fullerton: It's questionable that this will happen in 2010. Video analytics has been the promise of the future for the past half decade; however, no VA companies have proven what an acceptable, sustainable business model would look like - and there's little on the horizon in 2010.

　　Johnston: Analytics won't truly gain traction in the market until integrators and end-users recognize it as a reliable technology. Using features like the ability to perform a forensic search on pre-recorded video can help; technicians can fine tune algorithms to customer specifications during initial system setup instead of making repeated trips to the site to adjust for changing conditions. Dropping price points will also help more end-users make the leap into using analytics.